AC Bellinzona vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
5 - 1
BEL
36%
25%
38%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
TAV
0 - 5
BEL
6%
14%
80%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
YVE
0 - 1
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 1
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
WID
1 - 4
BEL
5%
12%
82%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 6
FCL
25%
25%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 0
SIO
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 4
FCL
5%
12%
83%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STG
4 - 1
FCL
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |