AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 2
WOH
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
BIE
0 - 1
BEL
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
BEL
3 - 1
WIN
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
LOC
2 - 6
BEL
16%
24%
60%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 3
CHI
70%
19%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 0
LOC
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
FCA
6 - 0
BIE
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 3
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |