SS Arezzo vs Voluntas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 0
VIT
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PIA
4 - 0
ARZ
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ACS
1 - 4
ARZ
12%
22%
66%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 0
DER
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
ARZ
13%
23%
65%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 2
VOL
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 2
ORV
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 1
TOD
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
VOL
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 2
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |