SS Arezzo vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 3
ARZ
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
2 - 4
PON
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ORV
0 - 2
ARZ
13%
22%
65%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
3 - 0
CAS
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TOD
1 - 1
ARZ
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SSD
2 - 0
PIA
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
SSD
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 1
DER
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 0
SSD
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
1 - 0
ACS
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |