SS Arezzo vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
27.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 0
ARZ
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ASL
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 1
ARZ
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ABN
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 1
TRE
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 3
TRE
36%
27%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 0
ACL
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 0
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 1
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |