Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
SS Arezzo vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 2
ARZ
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ARZ
3 - 0
VIT
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 2
NOV
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
PIS
0 - 3
ARZ
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 0
GOZ
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2019 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
PIS
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
PIS
3 - 0
NOV
47%
29%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 2
PIS
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
PIS
0 - 0
PON
60%
25%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |