SS Arezzo vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CUN
1 - 0
ARZ
23%
30%
47%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ARZ
1 - 0
OLB
61%
23%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ASA
1 - 2
ARZ
27%
29%
45%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
ARZ
1 - 1
JS2
60%
23%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
PON
1 - 1
ARZ
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 1
LEO
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 3
NOV
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
PIS
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |