SS Arezzo vs Narnese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
OST
2 - 3
ARZ
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PIS
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SCA
0 - 0
ARZ
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
ARZ
31%
26%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 0
ARZ
12%
21%
68%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | -3 |
Matches
Narnese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ANC
1 - 1
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
4 - 2
ANC
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ANC
1 - 1
SPO
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |