SS Arezzo vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
RIM
0 - 2
ARZ
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ARZ
1 - 5
JUV
13%
23%
64%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 2
ARZ
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ARZ
3 - 1
VER
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
ARZ
3 - 0
CES
43%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRI
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 1
MOD
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 2
MAN
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
VIC
2 - 0
MOD
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |