SS Arezzo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
ARZ
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PIS
27%
30%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ACP
0 - 0
ARZ
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ASS
43%
29%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SIE
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
ASL
0 - 4
PIA
54%
24%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ASL
3 - 0
OLB
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GER
0 - 2
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ASL
2 - 2
ARZ
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |