SS Arezzo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 0
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
ARZ
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 1
SIE
10%
18%
73%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ANC
24%
27%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RIM
2 - 0
ASL
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
ANC
29%
27%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |