SS Arezzo vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
ARZ
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LAQ
2 - 0
ARZ
47%
28%
26%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
ARZ
77%
17%
7%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 3
FCS
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
ARZ
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LAQ
2 - 0
PIS
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NOV
5 - 0
LAQ
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LAQ
2 - 0
ARZ
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 0
LAQ
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 1
GRO
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |