SS Arezzo vs FiesoleCal... analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
ARZ
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
ARZ
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 1
TOD
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DER
0 - 3
ARZ
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
3 - 0
PIA
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FiesoleCal...
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FIE
0 - 0
SPO
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TOD
1 - 1
FIE
30%
25%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FIE
1 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
FIE
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FIE
1 - 3
CAS
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |