SS Arezzo vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 0
ARZ
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MAN
31%
24%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
ARZ
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MAT
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 0
ARZ
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 1
FER
34%
30%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
CES
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
FER
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
IMO
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 1
FER
46%
27%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |