SS Arezzo vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 1
ARZ
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PRG
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PES
0 - 2
ARZ
35%
26%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 2
REA
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
USF
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 2
GAL
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
CRO
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
PAG
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 1
CRO
23%
27%
49%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 0
TAR
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |