SS Arezzo vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
ARZ
3 - 1
LEO
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CUN
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
OLB
0 - 0
ARZ
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ASA
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
USA
2 - 3
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
ASA
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
PON
0 - 0
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 4
OLB
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 1
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |