SS Arezzo vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ASL
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 0
ARZ
50%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 0
REG
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 2
ARZ
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 2
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
PIS
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
PAD
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAD
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 2
ACL
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |