SS Arezzo vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TOD
0 - 1
ARZ
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 1
DER
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PIA
1 - 0
ARZ
17%
22%
60%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 3
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAS
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
PIA
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASD
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DER
2 - 1
BAS
67%
20%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 1
VOL
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |