SS Arezzo vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
REG
1 - 2
ARZ
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 2
ARZ
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 2
PRO
33%
26%
42%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARZ
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ARZ
0 - 3
CES
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 0
CTT
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 2
CTT
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
REG
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ACP
2 - 1
CTT
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |