SS Arezzo vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ARZ
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
ARZ
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BV5
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARZ
3 - 2
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
PAV
0 - 0
ACL
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAV
2 - 1
MAN
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ABN
0 - 2
PAV
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 3
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAV
0 - 1
USA
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |