SS Arezzo vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ACP
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CTT
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RIM
55%
23%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 3
ARZ
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PIS
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PAV
0 - 1
VAR
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAV
51%
26%
22%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 3
REG
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAV
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PAV
2 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |