Abrera vs Papiol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SVH
3 - 1
ABR
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ABR
4 - 0
LPC
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
3 - 3
ABR
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ABR
0 - 2
SAN
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
ABR
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Papiol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PAP
2 - 1
PAL
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 1
PAP
39%
22%
40%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PAP
0 - 1
FLL
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OMO
3 - 0
PAP
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PAP
6 - 0
INC
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |