Abrera vs Papiol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ABR
2 - 1
SMO
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
ABR
72%
15%
13%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CER
3 - 2
ABR
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ABR
3 - 1
COR
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LGU
3 - 0
ABR
49%
21%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Papiol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CER
2 - 1
PAP
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PAP
2 - 1
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LGU
2 - 1
PAP
30%
22%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PAP
2 - 1
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FLL
1 - 1
PAP
46%
21%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |