Abrantes e Benfica vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
USA
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 0
CAL
87%
9%
3%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LEX
4 - 1
CAL
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
CAL
54%
23%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |