Abo Qir Semad vs Itehad Nabaroh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
16º
5º
29
5º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
82.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abo Qir Semad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
GSH
0 - 0
ABO
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ABO
1 - 0
AMS
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BAM
5 - 1
ABO
44%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
ABO
2 - 2
ELM
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ELH
0 - 0
ABO
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Itehad Nabaroh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
ITN
1 - 0
PFC
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
ITN
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ITN
0 - 0
ASC
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
KAF
1 - 0
ITN
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ITN
1 - 0
TAN
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |