Abha vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
61.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
ABH
1 - 3
DHA
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ALH
2 - 0
ABH
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
6 - 1
ABH
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ABH
1 - 1
ALI
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 1
ABH
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALB
70%
18%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALI
46%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
ALN
1 - 0
TRA
60%
21%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALT
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
2 - 1
ALN
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |