ABFF U17 vs Ostrovets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
72.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
17º
14º
43
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABFF U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
MOL
3 - 2
ABF
83%
12%
6%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ABF
2 - 0
BAR
14%
21%
65%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | +8 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MKK
3 - 0
ABF
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 66 | 48 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ABF
1 - 2
FCN
10%
16%
75%
|
18 | 55 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 0
ABF
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
OFC
3 - 2
FCS
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
DMM
4 - 3
OFC
6%
10%
84%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 1
OFC
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OFC
0 - 2
LID
51%
23%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DMI
3 - 0
OFC
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |