Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
60.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ABE
0 - 1
NEW
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
FLI
2 - 0
ABE
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BRI
2 - 3
ABE
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAR
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ABE
1 - 6
BRI
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 2
TNS
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TNS
5 - 0
AIR
60%
18%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
TNS
47%
23%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TNS
4 - 0
PEN
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TNS
3 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |