Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
ABE
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 2
FLI
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 0
ABE
6%
12%
82%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
ABE
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TNS
6 - 0
HAV
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
FLI
1 - 1
TNS
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
TNS
8%
14%
78%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |