Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 5
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CON
4 - 0
ABE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 3
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
ABE
11%
18%
72%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TNS
2 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 2
TNS
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TNS
5 - 1
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 0
BAN
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AIR
1 - 4
TNS
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |