Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 5
ABE
37%
25%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
TAF
0 - 2
ABE
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 5
DER
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
DER
4 - 0
ABE
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 3
TNS
35%
23%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
TNS
2 - 0
BAN
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
TNS
15%
21%
65%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
TNS
0 - 2
SBR
36%
24%
40%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
SBR
1 - 0
TNS
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 3
TNS
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |