Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
3 - 0
LID
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RHY
0 - 3
ABE
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
ABE
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
LID
0 - 0
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
0 - 0
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
PRE
1 - 0
TNS
27%
25%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TNS
6 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
WAR
1 - 0
TNS
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
TNS
1 - 3
WAR
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 4
TNS
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |