Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
AIR
1 - 1
ABE
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ABE
0 - 0
WEL
40%
26%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
POR
1 - 3
ABE
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ABE
3 - 1
CWM
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
AIR
2 - 3
TNS
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
CEF
1 - 0
TNS
20%
24%
57%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 1
TNS
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 2
VEN
39%
25%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
TNS
4 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |