Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
AIR
0 - 1
ABE
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
WEL
1 - 4
ABE
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
ABE
3 - 1
CWM
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
29%
25%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
TNS
0 - 0
LLA
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
TNS
4 - 1
CEF
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 3
TNS
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
TNS
2 - 0
HAV
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |