Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
5º
4º
25
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
ABE
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
PON
0 - 0
ABE
54%
24%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
22%
25%
52%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
ABE
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 0
ABE
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PON
0 - 3
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
PON
0 - 0
ABE
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
PON
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
HAV
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |