Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 4
CAE
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
6 - 0
ABE
81%
13%
7%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
PON
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
BAL
25%
26%
50%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
PON
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |