Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
12º
11º
13
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
CON
4 - 0
ABE
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
ABE
43%
23%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAE
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
TNS
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 0
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 4
PON
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
NEW
35%
25%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |