Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
11º
10º
20
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 3
NEW
28%
22%
51%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
ABE
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
FLI
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RTW
3 - 4
PON
22%
21%
57%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PON
0 - 5
CON
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 4
PON
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 0
PON
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
PON
1 - 4
NEW
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |