Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
6º
4º
38
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FLI
5 - 0
ABE
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
CAE
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FLI
1 - 1
ABE
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
6 - 1
ABE
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PON
4 - 0
AIR
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FLI
4 - 1
PON
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
PON
83%
12%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
PON
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
BAL
12%
21%
66%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |