Aberystwyth Town vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 2
ABE
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 5
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAN
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
7 - 1
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAL
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 3
NEW
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
TNS
0 - 0
LLA
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CON
3 - 1
LLA
16%
22%
63%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 2
PRE
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
LLA
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +3 |