Aberystwyth Town vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
TNS
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 6
ABE
15%
20%
66%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRE
1 - 0
ABE
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 2
AIR
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 2
PRE
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 4
LLA
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
LLA
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 2
LLA
12%
20%
68%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |