Aberystwyth Town vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 3
HAV
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 0
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PRE
1 - 0
ABE
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LLA
0 - 1
RHY
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 4
LLA
35%
24%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 1
LLA
26%
23%
50%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LLA
5 - 0
POR
87%
9%
4%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
LLA
2 - 0
POR
74%
16%
11%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |