Aberystwyth Town vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LLA
3 - 0
ABE
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ABE
0 - 0
RHY
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ABE
6 - 1
CON
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
POR
2 - 4
LLA
16%
20%
64%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
LLA
4 - 2
HAV
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
LLA
26%
24%
51%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
LLA
4 - 0
TNS
56%
22%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 6
LLA
19%
19%
62%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |