Aberystwyth Town vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 0
TNS
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
AIR
0 - 1
ABE
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
WEL
1 - 4
ABE
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
ABE
3 - 1
CWM
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
29%
25%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
OBK
1 - 0
LLA
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
LLA
0 - 0
GEF
48%
23%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
GEF
1 - 2
LLA
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LLA
1 - 1
RHY
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
LLA
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |