Aberystwyth Town vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 1
ABE
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ABE
1 - 0
AIR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CAE
4 - 1
ABE
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ABE
1 - 2
RHY
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
CAE
0 - 2
ABE
35%
24%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
LLA
0 - 4
TNS
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
POR
4 - 0
LLA
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
LLA
1 - 4
CEF
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NEW
4 - 0
LLA
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LLA
0 - 2
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |