Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
5º
4º
43
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 4
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
50%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
ABE
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
BAL
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
HAV
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |