Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAE
73%
17%
9%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 0
ABE
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 2
RHY
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 0
ABE
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ABE
4 - 1
CEF
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 2
HAV
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 0
TNS
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
RHY
1 - 2
HAV
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 1
LLA
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 2
NEA
40%
25%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |