Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
11º
10º
44
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 4
BAL
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 2
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
ABE
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 4
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
PEN
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
AIR
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |