Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABE
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
6 - 0
CEF
83%
12%
6%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
ABE
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CON
3 - 0
HAV
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
CON
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
CON
10%
22%
67%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |