Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 0
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
ABE
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 2
FLI
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 4
CON
58%
21%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 4
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
CEF
82%
14%
4%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |